Innovative risk evaluation methodology to address the challenges of multi-criteria decision-making

The American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE, www.asce.org), Journal of Construction Engineering and Management features the paper Improved Decision Model for Evaluating Risks in Construction Projects by Morteza YazdaniM. Reza AbdiNiraj Kumar; and, Mehdi Keshavarz-Ghorabaee. To better evaluate risks in construction projects, the paper proposes “…an innovative risk evaluation methodology to address the challenges of multi-criteria decision-making…” with the fuzzy analytic network process (FANP), interdependencies of risk factors, and failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA).

Improve multi-criteria decision-making and mitigate weather risks in construction projects

Adverse weather is one of the top three reasons for missed milestones in the construction industry and built environment, with negative impacts costing billions of dollars each year in the U.S. Given the complex and dynamic interdependencies of weather risk factors including weather events, schedule impacts, and health, safety and environmental (HSE) hazards, the fuzzy analytic network process (FANP) and failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) offers new and innovative approaches to improve multi-criteria decision-making and to mitigate weather risks in construction projects.

By Morteza Yazdani, Ph.D.; M. Reza Abdi, Ph.D.; Niraj Kumar, Ph.D.; Mehdi Keshavarz-Ghorabaee, Ph.D.

Abstract

The paper develops an innovative risk evaluation methodology to address the challenges of multicriteria decision-making problem of project evaluation and selection. The methodology considers the fuzzy analytic network process (FANP) to incorporate the interdependencies of different risk factors, and failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) to conduct the rating analysis of projects to develop the decision matrix. Finally, evaluation based on the distance from the average solution compares alternative projects and reports the optimal solution. The proposed approach allows project managers to engage in the evaluation process and to use fuzzy linguistic values in the assessment process. A case study from the construction sector is selected to verify the efficacy of the proposed approach over other popular approaches in the literature.

(Source: Yazdani, Morteza, et al. “Improved Decision Model for Evaluating Risks in Construction Projects.” Improved Decision Model for Evaluating Risks in Construction Projects | Journal of Construction Engineering and Management | Vol 145, No 5, Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, May 2019.)

About the Authors

  • Morteza Yazdani, Ph.D., Dept. of Management, Universidad Loyola Andalucai, Seville 41014, Spain.
  • Reza Abdi, Ph.D., School of Management, Univ. of Bradford, Emm Ln., Bradford BD9 4JL, UK.
  • Niraj Kumar, Ph.D., Management School, Univ. of Liverpool, Chatham St., Liverpool L69 7ZH, UK (corresponding author).
  • Mehdi Keshavarz-Ghorabaee, Ph.D., Dept. of Management, Faculty of Humanities (Azadshahr Branch), Gonbad Kavous Univ., Gonbad Kavous 64891-14666, Iran.
  • Felix T. S. Chan, Professor, Dept. of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Hong Kong Polytechnic Univ., Hung Hom, Hong Kong.

https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001640

ASCE Subject Headings: Failure modesCase studiesFailure analysisDecision makingInnovationConstruction managementRisk managementFuzzy sets

Journal of Construction Engineering and ManagementVol. 145, Issue 5 (May 2019)

© 2019 – 2020 American Society of Civil Engineers.

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